话题:阚凯力:从小灵通看大问题


  曾经红极一时、拥有近一亿用户的小灵通,已经被工业与信息化部今年一月份的一纸通知宣判了死刑。目前仍然使用小灵通的七千万用户向何处去?国有资产与用户的损失由谁来补偿?与几年前小灵通的大发展一样,小灵通退网引发的问题又一次引起了轩然大波。

  当年的“小灵通现象”在我国是怎样诞生的?当时的信息产业部早已经过多次论证,认定小灵通技术不适合提供公众电信业务,不应该在我国大规模发展。就像吴基传部长所说:“用小灵通组网等于非得把自行车开成奔驰车的速度,不但做不到,而且是违反科学规律的。”因此,小灵通从诞生的那天起,就是一个先天不足的怪胎。

  但是,在与信产部千方百计“阻挠”小灵通发展的同时,负责国有资产“保值增值”的政府部门却把手机资费的下降说成是“国有资产流失”,不但极力禁止,而且对胆敢进行“恶性价格战”的干部调离甚至惩处。这就使我国当时的手机资费居高不下,广大低端用户对移动通信的需求得不到满足。

  在另一方面,为了把国有企业“做大做强”,它们的主管部门又对它们进行着“一刀切”的“督战队”式行政管理,使中国电信和中国网通承受着巨大的压力。在固网业务缺乏增长点的条件下,它们只得另辟蹊径,铤而走险,把大力推广小灵通作为自己完成业绩考核的主要手段。

  在这种情况下,大量消费者明知小灵通的性能远不如移动手机,也不得不被迫使用。但是,这种市场的扭曲又反过来推动了手机资费的下降。可以说,在当时的政策条件下,具有高度“中国特色”的“小灵通现象”,是消费者与运营商通过市场行为共同进行的一种自发性反抗。

  现在,小灵通终于被宣判了死刑。已经投入小灵通的上千亿国有资产也将化为乌有。如果按照几年前电信业领导的说法,运营商大上小灵通属于“不得已而为之”、“情有可原”,就只能把属于全国百姓的上千亿资金又一次作为“学费”了。尽管类似的“学费”已经缴过无数次,但是在改革开放三十年后的今天,谁让许多政策的制定还在继续“摸着石头过河”,其结果取决于利益集团的多方博弈呢?

  但是,我国的七千万小灵通用户,他们比运营商更加“不得已而为之”,更加“情有可原”。那么,难道也要他们跟着再缴一次“学费”吗?众所周知,随着手机资费的迅速下降,小灵通的用户数量自几年年前就已经开始萎缩了。所以,即使小灵通的历史使命完成了,也完全可以按照市场经济规律,把选择权交给消费者,由他们选择最适合自己的物美价廉的服务,使小灵通“自然而然”地“寿终正寝”。这样作,不但最大限度地保护了消费者的利益,而且最大限度地发挥了巨额国有资产的经济效益,何乐而不为?

  但是,这次小灵通被宣判死刑的原因,既不是为了发挥国有资产的效益,更不是为了保护消费者的利益,而是为了“支持具有我国自主知识产权的TD-SCDMA技术的发展和应用”。

  众所周知,TD-SCDMA里面究竟有多少自主知识产权,这个问题几年来一直说不清楚,我们暂且不谈。更重要的问题是,正如吴基传同志所说,3G发展的关键“不是技术问题,也不是采用什么标准的问题,而是市场问题,即3G能否给市场带来所需要的业务。”因此,TD-SCDMA能否成功,取决于它“是否被广大用户接受”。但是经过世界各国长达七、八年的实践,恰恰证明无论采用哪种技术标准,3G的应用、需求和市场都严重不足,使世界上所有的3G运营商都在严重亏损。唯一例外的日本,也是因为它用“自主知识产权”的PDC技术建成了世界上最糟糕的2G网络,才不得不尽早用3G技术替代2G,挣2G的钱而已。与此相反,我国的2G网络在全世界规模最大、覆盖最广、质量最好、技术水平最先进。除了在全世界都不受欢迎的“视频通话”以外,我国的2G早已实现了3G的所有应用。由此可见,在我国推广3G,必然遇到比世界上任何国家更加严重的困难。

  在电信业,正常的产业价值链应该是:电信运营商为消费者服务,设备制造商为运营商服务,而技术研发为制造商服务。但是我国的TD-SCDMA,却是制造商为技术研发服务,运营商为制造商服务,而且进一步想要消费者为运营商服务。这种产业价值链的倒置,从根本上颠倒了“谁为谁服务”的问题,完全违背了市场经济的基本规律。正是因为行政命令在“消费者为运营商服务”这个关键环节上失效,所以TD-SCDMA与其它3G标准一样,也在消费者这里“卡了壳”。难怪“用TD迎奥运”的效果有目共睹,也难怪在TD-SCDMA放号已近一年的今天,全国才不过几十万用户,而且至少半数还是靠送手机、免话费请来的。在这种情况下,一些人提出要用搞“两弹一星”的方法搞TD-SCDMA,甚至不惜牺牲消费者利益和2G网络中上万亿的国有资产,要求“停止G网手机的生产,发展TD”。这只能说明,把TD-SCDMA作为创新型国家的样板,是在坚持计划经济下的科研体制和教育体制、回避甚至抵制根本性的改革。这样作的结果,只能与创新型国家的目标愈来愈远。

  不幸的是,尽管TD-SCDMA严重缺乏需求和市场,尽管它一直受到运营商和消费者的强烈抵制,但是因为它被罩上了“自主知识产权”的光环,已经演变为一尊“政治挂帅”的法器。在这种情况下,尽管TD-SCDMA已经得到的频率至少足以容纳一亿以上用户,尽管现有用户的总数还不到这一数量的百分之一,尽管可以预计它的现有频率在二三年内不可能饱和,但是在“支持自主知识产权”的高压之下,还是要把小灵通正在使用的频率收回,甚至不惜长期闲置。于是,七千万消费者的利益变成了“自主知识产权”祭坛上的牺牲品。在这个祭坛上,我们不但看到了五八年“大跃进”的身影,也嗅到了文革十年浩劫的气味。

  “小灵通现象”的出现,是因为我国的电信政策损害消费者利益而诞生的一个畸形儿。小灵通的即将退出,更是因为我国的电信政策无视消费者利益,而被宣判死刑。胡锦涛同志在全国科学技术大会上说,必须“坚持科技为经济社会发展服务、为人民群众服务的方向”。作为具有强烈“中国特色”的我国电信政策的一个缩影,小灵通的身世说明,在我国电信政策的制定中,必须首先解决的是“为谁服务”的方向问题。(阚凯力)
 

嘿嘿哈 发表于 2009-03-23 09:48
加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [1 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2009-04-01 08:15

精辟,透彻。

加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [2 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2009-04-02 21:25

支持您的看法!!违背市场规律,会收到惩罚的!!

加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [3 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2010-01-17 18:54

come !come my dear friends .come here buy fake rolex .cheap fake rolex at here .heave the replica rolex and fake rolex look !the best rolex replica or swiss rolex all in my siteif u want to buy replica rolex and knock off rolex come to my site now rolex replica watch ,heave a look forreplica de rolex or fake Explorer Watches cheap replica omega|cheap rolex|cheap replica rolexcheap replica|buy cheap fake rolexbest replica watches fake swiss watches Replica Swiss watches replica Rolex replica watch fake watches designer handbags Discount designer handbags handbags Discount handbagsCheap handbags SWISS WATCH.u will find the fake GMT Master Watches is very good ,and ohter asfake Submariner .fake Submariner watches and replica Submariner is very cheap
Louis Vuitton handbags and replica Louis Vuitton fake Louis Vuitton bags at our site.cheap Discount Louis Vuitton Handbags and Monogram Canvasreplica bagsfake handbagschanel replica bagsfake chanel
replica Gucci Discount Gucci handbags Chloe handbags Chloe bags replica chloe fake chloe Hermes Handbags Cheap Hermes handbags replica Hermes fake Hermes Prada Handbags Fake Prada Handbags Prada replica handbag Balenciaga Handbags Balenciaga bags fake Balenciaga bags replica Balenciaga handbags
fake Patek Philippe Patek Philippe watches Piaget replica Piaget Porsche design watches Rado Rado replica Tag Heuer replica Tag Heuer fake Tag Heuer Tag Heuer watches Tag Heuer Carrera Tag Heuer Golf Tag Heuer Kirium Tag Heuer Link Watches Tag Heuer Monaco Watches Tag Heuer SLR watches U-Boat U-Boat watches U-Boat replica fake u boat Vacheron Constantin Vacheron Constantin replica Vacheron Constantin watches best Rolex watches Swiss Replica Rolex Swswiss Replica

加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [5 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2010-05-03 10:14

Replica handbags are becoming more and more popular these days, Mulberry Handbagsespecially online with the proliferation of a number of wholesale fashion handbags stores.Fake Mulberry Handbags Of course, online stores have always been popular, Fake Handbagsbut the transition of handbags from a fashion item you can buy in boutiques to an item you buy anytime and anywhere is a telling sign of its popularity. Louis Vuitton walletsThis means handbags are no longer the fashion icon that they were years ago. Before, Replica Hermes Walletsonly the rich and the elite can buy wholesale handbags. However, today, thanks to the Internet and other sources, anyone can buy wholesale fashion handbags without worrying about the price, among other factors.

加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [7 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2010-06-21 16:40

chanel handbags
gucci handbags
hermes handbags
louis vuitton handbags
designer handbags
vertu phones
designer handbags reviews

replica phones

tag heuer phone

mobiado

cartier-phones

goldvish

rolex mobile

porsche phone

replica blackberry

iphone replica

replica handbags

加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [8 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2010-06-29 09:43

the Links of London jewelry interval Date. It is cheap Links of London jewerly no wonder, that squirrel tiffany store both the wonderful pry Chanel jewelry into but again secrete Fashion Jewelry the transcendent prices, that Fashion Jewelry Rolex watches are items Chanel jewelry which are replicated again fake Christian Dior jewelry counterfeited, althou Christian Dior jewelry tiffanys

加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [9 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2010-07-30 10:20

Which are the perfect gucci handbagslouis vuitton handbagschanel bagscoach bags you´re looking for? Is it a special kind? A rare item? Something you need to really research? If you were looking for designer handbags you have come to the right place! Shopkiss online store offers original gucci handbagslouis vuitton handbagschanel handbagscoach handbags at discounted prices. Shopkiss.com is dedicated to provide the top quality and cheapest designer Gucci Handbags, Chanel Handbags, Coach Handbags, Louis Vuitton Handbags and other world famous brand handbags! All of our bags in competitive price and top quality! Our shop is your best handbags online store! There is more than 1000 products on sale! Many bags are sale well worldwide.

加为好友加为好友 发送消息发送消息 [10 楼]
中国通信网友

中国通信网友 @ 2010-08-20 10:37

Ugg news.uggs cardy do you know ? I think you may be more interested on the Uggs outlet and ugg boots outlet storet. then I think you can buy your favorite web team Uggs sale and even favorite star’s ugg boots sale. You also are struggling to find a good UGG outlet? We provide high quality UGG Boots UK . Ugg news. we are doing UGGs sale and have Cheap UGG Boots? We provide high quality Ugg Boots, absolutely worth your choice, high cost performance, professional ugg boots supplier.Our products include:UGGs Shoes. jordan news.Collectors classify the Retro Air Jordan line by release year and model: Originals (OG), Retros Air Jordan V,Retros Cheap Jordan shoes(shoes that have been recreated for sale to the general public), Retro-pluses (Retro +, Air Jordan that are similar to the Original product, with more up-to-date changes), Player Exclusive (PE, Air Jordan I that are exclusive to certain athletes in the realm of sports) and Samples. The Jordan X and Air Jordan X Brand also produces a line of Team shoes, separate from the signature line of Air. Air max news . Originally released in 1989 as the New air max II, the Nike air max shoes and AirMax Light was intended as a successor to the Cheap Nike Shoes. It weighed less than the original, achieved by replacing the forefoot polyurethane midsole with one made from phylon. Nike USA Marketed as a performance running shoe, the Light would eventually be overshadowed by the nike air 95, now known as the nike air 360.Re-released in 2007, the Light continues to release in both retro and new colourways. JD Sports had an advertising campaign using the word Swoosh,Nike air max LTD presumably in keeping with the original print advertisements. Known as the Nike air max 180 III until air max 2010, when it was reissued taking its name from the year of its launch year. The original colourway of white/black/cool grey with infrared was chosen to exaggerate the thickness of the sole air unit. The Nike air max 2003 is especially popular in Europe. buy office 2007 (officially called 2007 Microsoft Office System) is the most Office 2010 sale recent Windows version of the Microsoft Office System, Microsofts productivity suite. Formerly known as office 2007 Retail in the initial stages of its beta cycle, it was released to volume license customers on Office 2007 and made available to retail customers buy Windows 7

首页  1  2  尾页
发表评论:
标题*
昵称*
发表评论,1000字符以内!
他的信息
嘿嘿哈
本文作者:嘿嘿哈
通信财富:2983
业内信誉:64
参与人数:12
话题发表者上传名片
工信部电信研究院
通信信息研究所副所长
杨青
深圳市诺龙实业有限公.
总经理
张顺庆
艾默生网络能源有限公.
副总裁
张林
北电网络(中国)有限.
执行主管
刘晓静
北电网络(中国)有限.
市场资讯部媒体关系高.
刘琦
大唐微电子技术有限公.
副总经理
刘迪军
话题内名片