话题:给物联网泼点冷水

  “3G”和“物联网”无疑是2009年信息领域最热门的词汇,3G当前已经走入公众的视野并取得了商用方面长足的进步,而物联网却始终还蒙着一层面纱,除了资本市场对物联网概念的热捧之外,让业界感受更多的是来自政府、运营商和产业制造链等各方的高度重视。不过,物联网当前仍处于概念炒作阶段,离真正的商用成熟还有较远的距离。

  物联网尚未成熟 电信运营商需注意策略

  “人与人通信领域”的饱和看上去已是不争的事实,既如此,三大运营商如何完成自己的“净利润增长”呢?正在此时,一个声音传来:“以信息化带动工业化、以工业化促进信息化,物联网是一个很好的入口”,于是,物联网开始被三大电信运营商重视。

  中国电信集团总经理王晓初就表示,中国电信将继续加大对无锡的资源倾斜力度,在此开展下一代互联网的试点与应用,加快相关项目的建设进度,为物联网提供全程全网、又快又好的通信通道。

  中国移动董事长王建宙近期不仅多次谈及物联网未来的广阔前景,而且也亲自前往台湾等地宣传物联网以及中国移动的物联网策略。

  中国联通董事长常小兵近日也曾对物联网发表观点:物联网实现了人与物、物与物的传播,这也将成为未来移动通信的巨大蓝海。随着移动互联网的爆发式增长,互联网和手机的结合使电信运营商迎来了一个新的发展契机,移动互联网将成为推动信息化发展、解决数字化鸿沟的重要手段。

  不过,对于这三家电信运营商的积极的态度,也有业内专家给泼了一盆冷水。专家指出,物联网未来的广泛应用不是几家财大气粗的运营商主推就可以启动的。物联网作为一个新兴产业,其产业链尚在逐步完善之中,它的发展需要在多个领域获得突破,其中包括观念、体制、技术、安全等方面。工信部电信研究院副总工程师杨培芳指出,当物联网的积极意义在于信息技术手段向生产领域渗透,业界应该理性看待这一概念,而不应当过火的进行概念炒作。

  物联网目前推广上遇到的问题主要有:

  第一,应用少。虽然“物联网”的一些相关应用已经出现产品,但还仅停留概念阶段,实际应用的产品非常少,如果实际应用的产品不能增加的话,恐怕消费者会出现审美疲劳吧。

  第二,整合困难。“物联网”涉及物流、交通、建筑、安防等多个行业,产品多元、产业链复杂是物联网明显特征,电信运营商如何整合这些产业,提出整体解决方案,现阶段看无从下手。

  第三,协议众多。近距通信技术协议众多:蓝牙(Bluetooth)、Wi-Fi、红外数据传输、ZigBee、超宽频(UltraWideBand)、短距通信(NFC)、WiMedia、GPS、DECT、无线1394和专用无线系统等等,如何有效整合各种协议或进行有效兼容,就成为“物联网”开发及应用过程中的不能绕过的一个问题。

  第四,成本过高:现在已经实现的一些产品与应用,成本都过高,很难想象消费者会为1000元的热水器加装一个1000元的信号解调器。

  第五,地址短缺:为了实现真正的物联网,满足众多设备都被分配到IP地址,现阶段IPv4的地址显然不够用,需要使用IPv6才可以,而IP地址过渡就不是短期内能完成的。

  物联网推广遇到的困难不仅多,而且难度大。电信运营商难不成要被这些困难束缚住吗?显然不能。

  第一,电信运营商可以做物联网与互联网尤其是移动物联网互联接口规范的标准制定。物联网是真实物理世界的信息交换网络,冷冰冰的物理世界在于以人为本的(移动)互联网互联互通的时候,必须有一个统一的标准。运营商在物联网与互联网互联方面有自己的优势。

  第二,电信运营商可以做物联网信息的收集者和分发者。运营商由庞大的用户群,这些用户群必然同时也是物联网物理信息的消费者。运营商完全可以建立一个公共的、按照行业划分的基础物理信息数据库,成为信息的提供者和分发者。

  第三,运营商可以以控制入口,制定标准,提供物理信息平台,成为整合物联网产业链的整合集成者。但是最不应该做的是直接介入行业市场,成为物联网信息消费需求的第一推手。否则运营商在急功近利的状态下就可能成为物联网部署的巨大成本的承担者。

  以上只是对电信运营商在物联网方面的策略提出一些建议,物联网是一个充满希望的朝阳产业,我们应该对其抱以信心,但是在发展上还需注意速度和效率,急于求成和畏首畏尾都不是正确的态度。

BASIN 发表于 2010-01-08 14:54
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信息产业部电信规划研.
工程师
梁志平
万纳特科技(深圳)有.
研发部高级工程师
杨占宁
天碁科技有限公司
技术支持 高级工程师.
雷智宇
中太数据通信(深圳).
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